Research

 

ACADEMIC RESEARCH

List of Publications

(2023) Manasse, P., Moramarco, G. and Trigilia, G.  Exchange rates and political uncertainty: the Brexit case. Economica, 1–32. https://doi.org/10.1111/
ecca.12509

(2022) P.Manasse, “Il nuovo PNRR, Rapporto sulla Finanza Pubblicail Mulino, a cura di G. Arachi, M. Baldini, S. Toso ,  https://www.dropbox.com/s/95zo1c4trhhzcx4/BOZZE_2022.pdf?dl=0

(2021) F. Caselli, M. Faralli, P. Manasse, U.Panizza, “On the Benefits of Repaying”, IMF Working Paper 2021/233 

(2021) P.Manasse, “La finanza pubblica italiana e il ruole dell’Unione Europea”, Rapporto sulla Finanza Pubblica, il Mulino, a cura di G. Arachi, M. Baldini, S. Toso (https://www.mulino.it/isbn/9788815291356)

(2020) P.Manasse, G.Moramarco and G.Trigilia, “Exchange Rates and Political Uncertainty : The Brexit Case”, DSE Working Paper

(2020) Manasse, Paolo ; Minerva, G. Alfredo ; Patuelli, Roberto ; Zirulia, Lorenzo , *How to Lockdown an Economy: an Input Output Analysis of the Italian Case".   Bologna: Dipartimento di Scienze economiche, p. 14.   DOI 10.6092/unibo/amsacta/6479 .  In: Quaderni - Working Paper DSE  (1152).    ISSN 2282-6483.  

(2020) P. Manasse and G. Moramarco, “Fiscal Policy and Public Debt after COVID-19”, in A.Goldstein, G.Bellettini eds, Bononia University Press, https://buponline.com/prodotto/the-italian-economy-after-covid-19/

(2018) P.Manasse “Italexit: perche’ i costi sono altissimi ed i benefici trascurabili” in Cosa succede se usciamo dall’Euro, a cura di Carlo Stagnaro, Istituto Bruno Leoni, IBL Libri ISBN: 978-88-6440-360-1, https://www.amazon.it/Cosa-succede-se-usciamo-dalleuro/dp/8864403604/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1537807444&sr=8-1&keywords=cosa+succede+se+usciamo+dall%27euro

(2017) D.Katsikas and P.Manasse, eds.  Economic Crisis and Structural Reforms, Routledge, London

(2017), with T.Aksoy, ” The Persistence-Resilience Trade-off in Unemployment: The Role of Labor and Product Market Institutions in the Euro area”,  in Economic Crisis and Structural Reforms, D.Katsikas and P.Manasse, eds., also in DSE Working Papers.

(2017) D.Katsikas and P.Manasse, “Introduction”, .  Economic Crisis and Structural Reforms, Routledge, London

(2017) D.Katsikas and P.Manasse, “Conclusions”,  Economic Crisis and Structural Reforms, Routledge, London

(2017) with Laura Bottazzi, Sarah Grace Lee, Better Wed Over the Mixen Than Over The Moor? Break-ups of Inter-Ethnic Marriages In Italy. Bologna: Dipartimento di Scienze economiche DSE, p. 29. In: Quaderni - Working Paper DSE (1098). ISSN 2282-6483.

(2017), with Laura Bottazzi, Sarah Grace Lee,  Marital dissolution In Italy: Are Mixed Couples More likely to Separate?” (mimeo, University of Bologna, presented at the DSE Economics Seminar, July 2013), slides

(2016) with Giulio Trigilia,”Brexit ed il Rischio di Default Sovrano”, Osservatorio Monetario N. 3/2016, Università Cattolica, novembre 2016

(2016) with M.Vezzoli and R.Savona,  “Danger Zones For The Financial System”, Ch.8 in Systemic Risk Tomography: Signals, Measurements, and Transmission Channels, Billio, Monica; Pelizzon, Loriana; Savona, Roberto eds, Elsevier – ISTE (ISBN 9781785480850)

(2016) with M.Vezzoli and R.Savona, “Rules of thumb Banking Crises in Emerging Markets”,  International Journal of Finance & Economics, vol 21: 360–381 (2016) Published online 4 April 2016 in Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com). DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.1550Journal of International Money and Finance

(2015) P.Manasse, “Lessons for Europe from the Greek Crisis” in A New Growth Model for the Greek Economy: Requirements for Long Term Sustainability, P.Panagiotis ed., Palgrave-McMillan

(2015) P.Manasse, “Debt sustainability and economic convergence of euro-area Member States: Challenges and Solutions” European Parliament, In_Depth_Analysis, and DSE Working Paper 1035

(2014) P.Manasse, with Tommaso Nannicini and Alessandro Saia, “Euro Si , Euro No: gli effetti dell’Euro sull’Economia Italiana”, e-book, Linkiesta

(2014), with Thomas Manfredi, "Flessibilita': il mito infranto del lavoro in Italia", e-book, Linkiesta

(2014) with Federica Coelli , ” The Impact of Floods on Firms’ Performance” DSE Working Paper

(2013) “ The Roots of the Italian Stagnation”, CEPR Policy Insight Paper

(2013) with Luca Zavalloni, “The European Sovereign Debt Crisis: Evidence from the CDS Sovereign Spreads”, Quaderni DSE Working Paper N° 863 , see also a summary in voxeu.org, http://www.voxeu.org/article/contagion-europe-evidence-sovereign-debt-crisis

(2013) with Isabella Rota Baldini,”What’s wrong with Europe, CEPR Policy Insight Paper

(2010), with F.Daveri and D.Serra, “The Twin Effects of Globalization”, Rivista di Politica Economica, 1-32

(2009), with N.Roubini, ” ‘Rules of Thumb’ for Sovereign Debt Crises” (IMF WP) , Journal of International Economics 78 (2009), pp. 192-205

(2007), with Carlos Chamon and Alessandro Prati, “Can We Predict the Next Capital Account Crisis?“, paper presented at the IXth J. Polak Conference, International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC, IMF Staff Papers , Vol.54, n.2

(2007), with Schwartz, Gerd, Ana Corbacho, Qiang Cui, and Giovanni Ganelli, , “Fiscal Policy and Public Investment in the New EU Member States,” in Herausforderungen für die Finanzpolitik in Europa/Fiscal Policy Challenges in Europe, pp. 263-298, Arbeitspapiere BMF, Bundesministerium der Finanzen (BMF), Berlin, September 2007.

(2007) ” Deficit Limits and Fiscal Rules for Dummies“, IMF Staff Papers , Vol 54, n.3

(2006) P. Manasse, ” Pro-Cyclical Fiscal Policy: Shocks, Rules and Institutions: A view from MARS “, IMF Working Paper

(2006), with Ugo Panizza and Laura Dos Reis, “Targeting the Structural Balance“, paper prepared for the XXIV Meeting of the Latin American Network of Central Banks and Finance Ministries. October 19th and 20th 2006, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department Working Paper # 598, Washington DC.

(2006) with L.Stanca, " Working on the Train: Technology, Trade and Wages in Italy, Rivista di Politica Economica

(2006) P. Manasse, “Public-Private Partnerships: An International Perspective“, (mimeo, IMF Washington, DC)

(2005) with L.Bottazzi, “Asymmetric Information and Monetary Policy in Common Currency Areas, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking , Volume 37, Number 4, August

(2003), with N.Roubini and A.Schimmelpfennig, “Predicting Sovereign Debt Crises”, IMF Working Paper 03/221

(2003), with L.Stanca and A.Turrini “Wage Premia and Skill Upgrading in Italy: Why Didn’t the Hound Bark?”, (invited paper) Labour Economics, special issue on technology, trade and wages

(2002), with Laura Bottazzi, “Credibility and Seignorage in A Common Currency Area “, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, November, Volume 34, Number 4, November

(2001) with M.Bordignon and G.Tabellini, “Optimal Regional Redistribution under Asymmetric Information, American Economic Review, June.

(2001), with Alessandro Turrini, “Trade, Wages and Superstars”, Journal of International Economics, June

(2001) , with Alessandro Turrini, “Il Mercato del Lavoro in Economia Aperta”, in Economia del Lavoro, Brucchi Luchino ed., Il Mulino, Bologna

(1999), with M. Bordignon and G.Tabellini , “Federalismo Fiscale e Redistribuzione Regionale”, in Istituzioni e governo dell’economia, L.Paganetto e G.Tria eds, Il Mulino, Bologna .(1997), with M. Bordignon and G.Tabellini, “Come Fare La Perequazione Regionale in Italia”, Le nuove Frontiere della Politica Economica, Il Sole 24 ore Libri.

(1998), with Laura Bottazzi, “Bankers’ versus Workers’ Europe (I): Asymmetric Information in EMU” CEPR Discussion Paper and IGIER Working Papers (1998), with Laura Bottazzi, “Bankers’ versus Workers’ Europe (II): Policy Externalities and Credibility in EMU”, CEPR Discussion Paper and IGIER Working Papers

(1998), with Christian Schultz, “Regional Redistribution and Migration” IGIER Working Papers.

(1996) Manasse, P., “Are Taxes Too Low?, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol 20.

(1995) with P.Garella "Imperfect Information and Employment Variability: A Note", Economica.

(1995) “Are Ph.D.’s less likely to end up on the dole?”, IGIER Working Papers.

(1995) with R.Helg, T.Monacelli, and R.Rovelli, “How much (A)Symmetry in Europe? Evidence from industrial Sectors”, European Economic Review, vol.39, No.5, May.

(1994), “Imperfezioni nei mercati dei capitali ed assicurazione del credito all’esportazione”, in L’azione di SACE-Mediocredito a sostegno delle esportazioni italiane, Ricerca per la Commissione Tecnica Spesa pubblica, Ministero del Tesoro, CESPRI Contributi Monografici.

(1994) with R.Helg, ” La dinamica dei settori manufatturieri e l’unione monetaria europea” in Rapporto sul Commercio Estero 1993, Istituto per il Commercio Estero, Roma.

(1994) Manasse, P., “Commento” al lavoro “Concorrenza imperfetta, contrattazione salariale e dinamica dell’ occupazione nell’ industria e nei servizi -L’esperienza italiana 1951-1990” di G.Brunello, Lavoro e Relazioni Industriali, January/March , vol.1.

(1993) with P.Canziani, F.Giavazzi and G.Tabellini, “Fiscal Rules for Debt Sustain ability: History and Institutions”, in Bond Markets, Treasury and Debt Management: The Italian Case”, V.Conti, R.Hamaui e H.M. Scobie eds, Chapman & Hall, London.

(1993) Manasse, P.,”Maastricht e l’Italia”, Economia e Management, Dicembre.

(1992) with T.Boeri and G.Perasso, “La transizione al mercato dell’Europa dell’Est” in L’economia italiana nel mondo che cambia: 1990-91 , F.Bruni e F.Onida ed., il Mulino.

(1992) P. Manasse, “The Low Income Trap Revisited: The Simple Macroeconomics of Fluctuations , Inequality and Unemployment”, IGIER Working Papers.

(1992) with R.Daviddi, “Big-bang o gradualismo? Lezioni dalle esperienze di Ungheria e Polonia”, in Il circolo virtuoso trilaterale, A.Bollino e P.Padoan ed., Il Mulino.

(1991) Manasse, P.,”Fiscal Policy in Europe: the Credibility Implications of Real Wage Rigidity.“, Oxford Economic Papers .

(1991) with Blundell-Wignall, A., and F. Browne, “Monetary Policy in Liberalized Financial Markets”, OECD Economic Studies.

(1990), with F. Browne ,”The Term Structure of Interest Rates: Theory and Practice”, OECD Economic Studies.

(1988) P. Manasse “Essays on International Interdependence and Policy Coordination”, Ph.D. Thesis, LSE.

(1987) Manasse, P., “Micro foundations of Fiscal Policy Games Under Flexible Exchange Rates: An Example.”, Il Giornale degli Economisti.

(1986) P. Manasse, with O. Attanasio and F. van der Ploeg, “International Interdependence in the OECD Economies: An Econometric Model of the Group of Seven. “, Working Paper no.914, Centre for Labour Economics, LSE.

(1986), Manasse, P., “International Policy Coordination: an Introduction”, Working Paper no.926, Centre for Labor Economics, LSE.

(1986) P. Manasse, with O. Attanasio and F. van der Ploeg, “International Interdependence in the OECD Economies: An Econometric Model of the Group of Seven. “, Working Paper no.914, Centre for Labour Economics, LSE.

(1986), Manasse, P., “International Policy Coordination: an Introduction”, Working Paper no.926, Centre for Labor Economics, LSE.

Current Research Projects

Portfolio Decisions, Financial Imperfections and Macroeconomic Performance (PRIN financed by the Italian Ministry of University and Research)

Systemic Risk ( Scientific Advisory Board Member SYRTO, financed by EU Horizon)

Marriage and Immigration joint with ISTAT

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