Nel mio articolo su lavoce discuto le proposte della Commissione Europea e le conseguenze per l’Italia
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Paolo Manasse
Professor of Economics
Economics Department, University of Bologna
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come fa a dire che stabilire un tasso di crescita del PIL nominale al 3,5% per i prossimi anni,per avere una riduzione del rapporto debito/PIL(con il pareggio di bilancio ) di 3-4 ogni anno?Vada a controllare,tolto naturalmente i tre anni della crisi,2008,2009 e 2010,se negli anni precedenti non si é avuta una crescita media del PIL nominale anche superiore al 3,5%…ad esempio,io ho calcolato che tra il 2001 e il 2007,in quei 7 anni la crescita media del PIL nominale é stata intorno al 3,8% ed avendo io presente approssimativamente tutto cio',avevo posto una crescita del 3,5,proprio per avere un dato possibile e anzi direi probabile.Forse lei,invece,quando ha detto che visti gli ultimi 15-20 anni,era un dato non verosimile,non ha ben chiaro quali siano stati i tassi di crescita del PIL nominale negli ultimi 15-20 anni.A proposito,la crescita nominale media del PIL tra il 1993 e il 2007 (15 anni)é stata pari al 4,42%…mi sa che non sono io ad aver dato numeri a caso ma qualcun'altro.
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